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Tag Archive | "Democratic primaries"


Round 2 — Obama Gets A ‘McBush Hug’ Then Mauls McCain

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“It’s too early to declare victory because Barack Obama’s black.” — David Gergen, CNN AnalystMore comments by Mr. Gergen below

What impressed me most about this debate is the level of maturity Obama has attained during this presidential election season.

He was almost “Clintonesque,” but still needs some polishing in the “connecting with voters” aspect of debating. I don’t think anyone has ever done it better than Bill Clinton in the last couple of decades. Slick-Willy is(was) a master at connecting with voters (see video below). He man-handled and completely destroyed Republican candidates Bush Snr. in 1992 and Bob Dole in 1996. Obama is not at that level yet, but he will get there. For now, McCain’s ineptitude helps.

Clinton vs. Bush in 1992 Debate

The mark of a brilliant man is how he adjusts to conditions around him, and the Obama of now is better, sleeker and crispier than the one I saw in the first few debates during the Democratic primaries.

   Obama gets the McBush Hug
Obama gets the McBush Hug

This was not a knockout for Obama, but he surely mopped the floor a couple of times with McCain’s butt.

It was not a game changing performance for McCain either.

Obama outclassed McCain to an extent that he doesn’t need a knockout in the next debate. He is ahead on points and will stay on top barring a major blunder.

He(Obama) owned both the foreign and domestic policy discussions, and McCain should feel blessed for Obama not accepting the “ten townhall meetings” he proposed earlier in the campaign, because Obama owned this meeting too — he was quick on his feet and moved around with athletic ease while hammering in point after point.

Obama was comfortable walking the stage and interacting with the questioners, while McCain wandered around stiffly, microphone in hand like a peeled banana ready for eating.

John McCain has a large collection of very pretty ties, but in this debate as in the previous one, he seems to have chosen the worst out of his closet. What happened to the nice suit and tie he wore when accepting the nomination at the Republican convention a month and a half ago?

McCain looked old, cranky and erratic — sometimes pacing aimlessly around the stage while Obama was talking. He was tense and uneasy, and the big difference in age showed.

I think the biggest mistake McCain made was when he proclaimed that healthcare is a “responsibility” and not a right of every American. Obama countered by saying that healthcare is a “crushing burden” for small businesses and is “breaking family budgets,” and is a RIGHT of every American. This was a very effective answer — and one of the “Butt-Mopping” episodes I mentioned earlier.

Full Debate Video

CNN Debate Analysis

David Gergen, CNN Analyst and respected aide to presidents for 30 years had this to say:

I give McCain a ‘B’ and Obama a ‘B+’

A few hits, some runs and no major errors — that was the way this second debate struck me. The format was far too confining so that neither candidate could answer in depth and viewers were left with a sense of disappointment that they hadn’t heard enough about specifics. Too often, we heard the same arguments we heard in the last debate.

John McCain was more effective on domestic issues than he was on the second debate but flatter on national security. Periodically, he made an excellent argument and he was more composed than earlier. Interestingly, he never went as negative as feared (e.g., he never talked — as Sarah Palin has on the stump — about the past associations of his opponent).

Barack Obama showed once again that he is more articulate and a better debater, able to weave together arguments and themes with great skill. Once again he was also steady. But he was hardly on fire and he didn’t give us much more insight — or new ideas — about the economic crisis now gripping the country.

So, my scores tonight are lower than last week:

McCain — B
Obama — B+

Politically, this debate strikes me as good news for Obama and bad news for McCain. With two straight victories under his belt, Obama has established in the minds of many voters that he is as qualified to be President as McCain –and given the economy, that means he should have strengthened his position.

Obama made no mistakes, connected better with voters. McCain’s condescending reference to Obama as “That One,” while probably un-intentional, might be viewed as racist by African Americans. During the years of slavery, blacks were often de-personalized by their slave masters in similar fashion.

“That One!”, could be as bad as ….“Boy!”

Obama was unruffled, consistent, had a thorough grasp of his policy prescriptions and McCain’s “bad ones,” so to speak. He looked more presidential.

In contrast, John McCain seemed agitated, looked grumpy and was sometimes unnecessarily aggressive, and in many instances didn’t answer questions clearly and succinctly.

“I’ll get Osama bin Laden, my friends. I’ll get him. I know how to do it!” ……. — is not good enough.

VERDICT: Obama mauls McCain, but got a free “McBush Hug” at the beginning of the debate. I found that funny after the “No Look” treatment by McCain in the first debate.

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Time.com — Grading the Second Presidential Debate
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References:

1. Memorable Debate Moments

2. Arianna Huffington: The Winner of Debate II? “That One”

AfterMath of the debate — Typical “GOP Assholery”

The McCain-Obama Post-Debate “Handshake”

Sean Hannity — The Sickest ‘Son-of-a-bitch’ on TV
Robert Gibbs and Sean Hannity go at it on Ayers

Popularity: 2% [?]

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Is Hillary Clinton Preparing To Run in 2012?

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By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN

Does Hillary Clinton really believe she can overtake Barack Obama among elected delegates? No way. The math is dead against her and she’s a realist. Even after Pennsylvania, Obama still leads by more than 140 in elected delegates. They’ll likely break even in Indiana and he’ll win North Carolina where one third of the vote is African-American. After that? If she wins Kentucky, West Virginia, and Puerto Rico by 15 points and they break about even in Guam, North Dakota, Montana, and Oregon, she’ll still trail him by at least 130 votes among elected delegates.

Does she believe she can persuade super delegates to vote for her? Again, probably not. Obama has steadily eroded her edge among super delegates and now they are almost tied among committed super delegates. And the prevailing sentiment among those that remain is not to overturn the will of the voters.

So why is Hillary still running so hard? Why is she especially focused on pushing up Obama’s negatives?

Until the last vote is counted on June 3rd, we can chalk up her persistence to determination, courage and sheer obstinacy. But if she persists in her candidacy after the last primary, we must begin to consider whether she has an ulterior motive.

Does Hillary want to beat up Obama so that he can’t win the general election in November, assuring McCain of the presidency so that she can have a clear field to run again in 2012? Obviously, if Obama beats McCain, Hillary is out of the picture until 2016, by which time, at 69 years old, she might be too old to run. But if McCain wins, she would have to be considered the presumptive front runner for the nomination, a status which she might parlay into a nomination more successfully than she has been able to do this year.

Every day that she stays in the race and punches Barack Obama, she must realize that she is decreasing his chances of getting elected in November. Each time that she waves the bloody shirt and says that only she is strong enough to fight the war on terror, she obviously raises doubts about Obama’s strength and leadership. Every time she criticizes him for not switching pastors or for saying downscale white voters are bitter, she raises issues that are very destructive to Obama should he win the nomination.

When does fighting for the nomination in 2008 end and seeking to sabotoge Obama’s chances in November to keep her options alive for 2012 begin? Doubts about Hillary’s motivation are going to keep on growing with each inconclusive primary. After she loses North Carolina and fails to carry Indiana by any significant margin (North Carolina has twice as many delegates as Indiana), people will begin to wonder out loud about why she is staying in the race. And if she remains obdurate after the last votes are cast on June 3rd, it will become an increasingly accepted presumption that she is running a campaign of sabotage against Obama.

There is a way to run without waging a scorched earth campaign. Mike Huckabee continued to fight for the Republican nomination until McCain reached the magic number to clench the battle and did not attack McCain. He waged a positive campaign and exercised his right to stay in the contest as long as it was undecided without hurting the party’s chances in November. Obviously, Huckabee could have attacked McCain and drawn more votes for his candidacy, but, in the interests of party victory, he chose not to do so.

Why isn’t Hillary making the same choice?

In 2004, it is pretty obvious that Hillary did nothing to help John Kerry beyond giving a speech at the convention and waging a token campaign on his behalf. Bill did even less. Their goal was obvious: they wanted Kerry to lose to Bush so that Hillary could run in 2008. Is she playing the same game now? Only time will tell.

Go To DickMorris.com to read all of Dick’s columns!

Power Plays: Win or Lose--How History's Great Political Leaders Play the Game

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Democrats – Heading Toward the Danger Zone

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By BOB HERBERT

Barack Obama is winning, so why does it look like Hillary Clinton is having all the fun?

Senator Obama has been thrown completely off his game by a combination of political attacks (some fair, some foul), a toxic eruption (the volcanic Jeremiah Wright was a gift from the gods to the Clintons and the G.O.P.), and some pretty serious self-inflicted wounds.

You can almost feel the air seeping out of the Obama phenomenon. The candidate and his aides are brainstorming ways to counter the Clinton death-ray machine and regain the momentum. They need to generate some new excitement and enthusiasm, and they need to do it soon.

Despite all the new voters who have been brought into the process, Democrats are filled with anxiety about their prospects in November. A nervous operative told me on Friday: “If we lose this election, it would be like Johnson losing to Goldwater.”

One of the problems is that anger is growing like a cancer among Democrats. The Clintons have more than lived up to their polarizing reputations, slicing and dicing the electorate and then gleefully exploiting the myriad divisions.

[more]

Popularity: 4% [?]

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