Tag Archive | "Turkey"

Blame Bush For Putin’s Muscle Flex

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Writes: Earl Beal in Terre Haute, Indiana

In the power politics of international relations, superpower behavior is governed by the concept of geopolitical spheres of influence. When a superpower nation meddles in the internal affairs of another and attempts to exert undue political or economic influence in its perceived sphere, that’s when trouble starts.

The trouble started when President Bush pressured Poland and the Czech Republic to establish a missile-defense system in their territories. This policy was then, and continues to be, seen by some as a direct threat to Russia, not to mention Bush’s push for democratic reforms in former Soviet Republics still considered vital to Russia’s national security interests.

Also, if Russia placed ballistic missiles in Cuba and/or Venezuela, this would constitute a direct threat to the U.S. Washington’s hue and cry over such a move would be surpassed only by Bush’s hypocrisy when he and his Pentagon took the "dramatic," "brutal" and "disproportionate" measure of invading a sovereign Iraq in 2003.

As a result, what do we have?

  • The hemorrhaging of our national treasure in terms of lives lost.
  • 5 million Iraqi refugees scattered and without homes.

…..and today secretary Rice ushered in the new COLD WAR:

Rice signs missile defense deal with Poland

By VANESSA GERA and MONIKA SCISLOWSKA

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and her Polish counterpart signed a deal Wednesday to build a U.S. missile defense base in Poland, an agreement that prompted an infuriated Russia to warn of a possible attack against the former Soviet satellite.

The Superpower Myth: The Use and Misuse of American MightRice dismissed blustery comments from Russian leaders who say Warsaw’s hosting of 10 U.S. interceptor missiles just 115 miles from Russia’s westernmost frontier opens the country up to attack.

Such comments “border on the bizarre frankly,” Rice said, speaking to reporters traveling with her in Warsaw.

“When you threaten Poland, you perhaps forget that it is not 1988,” Rice said. “It’s 2008 and the United States has a … firm treaty guarantee to defend Poland’s territory as if it was the territory of the United States. So it’s probably not wise to throw these threats around.”

The deal has strained relations between Moscow and the West, ties already troubled by Russia’s invasion of its former Soviet neighbor, U.S. ally Georgia, earlier this month.

Speaking to reporters traveling with her, Rice said, “the Russians are losing their credibility.”

Rice and Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski signed the deal Wednesday morning.

“It is an agreement which will help us to respond to the threats of the 21st century,” she said afterward.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said the agreement came after tough but friendly negotiations.

“We have achieved our main goals, which means that our country and the United States will be more secure,” he said.

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski (R)US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski (R) exchange documents after signing a deal on basing an American missile shield in Poland, in Warsaw. The United States has ruled out the use of US military force in Georgia, but the Pentagon will almost certainly be looking for other chess pieces to move to check a more aggressive Russia, analysts say.

After Warsaw and Washington announced the agreement on the deal last week, top Russian Gen. Anatoly Nogovitsyn warned that Poland is risking attack, and possibly a nuclear one, by deploying the American missile defense system, Russia’s Interfax news agency reported.

Poles have been shaken by the threats, but NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop dismissed them Tuesday as “pathetic rhetoric.”

“It is unhelpful and it leads nowhere,” he told reporters at a NATO meeting in Brussels, Belgium.

Many Poles consider the agreement a form of protection at a time when Russia’s invasion of Georgia has generated alarm throughout Eastern Europe. Poland is a member of the European Union and NATO, and the deal is expected to deepen its military partnership with Washington.

Polish President Lech Kaczynski also expressed “great satisfaction” at the outcome of the long months of negotiations.

Poland and the United States spent a year and a half negotiating, and talks recently had snagged on Poland’s demands that the U.S. bolster Polish security with Patriot missiles in exchange for hosting the missile defense base.

Washington agreed to do so last week, as Poland invoked the Georgia conflict to strengthen its case.

The Patriots are meant to protect Poland from short-range missiles from neighbors — such as Russia.

The U.S. already has reached an agreement with the government in Prague to place the second component of the missile defense shield — a radar tracking system — in the Czech Republic, Poland’s southwestern neighbor and another formerly communist country.

Approval is still needed the Czech and Polish parliaments.

No date has been set for the Polish parliament to consider the agreement, but it should face no difficulties in Warsaw, where it enjoys the support of the largest opposition party as well as the government.

References:

1. The Cuban Missile Crisis — was a confrontation between the United States, the Soviet Union, and Cuba during the Cold War. In Russia, it is termed the “Caribbean Crisis,” (Russian: Karibskiy krizis) while in Cuba it is called the “October Crisis.” The crisis ranks with the Berlin Blockade as one of the major confrontations of the Cold War, and is often regarded as the moment in which the Cold War came closest to a nuclear war….[ MORE >> ]

2. Abkhazia, Ossetia, Georgia, Russia, Europe, USA, Turkey, and the Yet Untold TruthRussia may certainly have ceaselessly tried to oppose NATO’s expansion up to the Russian borders, but this does not imply that the West has to take this Russian policy into consideration. However, the Western inconsistent and biased stance, interpreted as grave threat by Russia, only damages the chances of the West to diffuse the Western values, ideas and principles among the numerous oppressed peoples who form a sizeable – and traumatized – minority in Russia, being however the local majority either on small (like the Abkhazians) or vast (like the Yakutians) territory. …[ MORE >> ]

Popularity: 11% [?]

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Political Corruption - Mwai Kibaki is ’selling’ Kenya to Libya, China, India, Turkey & Iran

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Writes: David Ochami

President Kibaki has made new friends in a quiet shift of ideology — a move causing disquiet among Kenya’s traditional Western allies, The Standard can reveal.

Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki and his newfound friends, (clockwise) Chinese President Hu jintao, Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Libya's Muammar Gaddafi.Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki and his newfound friends, (clockwise) Chinese President Hu jintao, Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi.

The exposure of a series of deals discreetly cut between Nairobi and Tripoli illustrates how close Kibaki has become to Libyan strongman Muammar Gaddafi.

State House also started courting China, Iran and Eastern European backers following strained relations with Western allies appalled by spiraling corruption and bad governance.

Under Kibaki, China and Iran’s diplomatic and economic influence have risen, converse to falling relations with the West.

But it is Gaddafi, whose latest ‘incursions’ into Kenya has touched off alarm bells. Tripoli’s activities have created the worrying impression of a ‘takeover.’

Kenya’s traditional western allies are jittery over the ideological shift….[MORE >>]

REFERENCES:

1. Uproar over Kenya hotel sale to Libya
2. Kenya government gifts major hotel to Libya for peanuts
3. 20 reasons why President Kibaki’s Government should be overthrown by Kenyans
4. Hotel saga reveals Kenya cracks

Political Corruption: Concepts and Contexts

Popularity: 13% [?]

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Discounts on Democracy in Europe: Who Should Determine How One Self-Determines?

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By Risto Karajkov

With its expansion ever since the end of the cold war, the European Union has been increasingly projecting itself as a moral force in global affairs. It has called itself a community of values and has been tirelessly repeating to would-be members that full embrace of democracy and human and minority rights is the only way into the club.

No one has learned this refrain better than eager candidates from the Western Balkans. There, the idea of joining the European Union has been put on a pedestal. Europe symbolizes everything that is good, as opposed to the wicked backwardness of Balkan imperfection. Countries there need to constantly strive to democratize and reform in hope that they can one day join.

As much as this idea is unreservedly accepted, it appears that it is not fully corroborated by facts on the ground. Some of the countries in the (geographic) Balkans that seem to have very serious issues with respect of minority rights are in fact European Union member states.

Both Greece and Bulgaria adamantly refuse to recognize their Macedonian minority. Both countries have lost cases before the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg. They continue to stubbornly refuse to comply with the court’s decisions to allow the registration of the political parties of their Macedonian minorities. At the same time they do not have a problem using their leverage as members of the European Union to impose unprincipled conditions on Macedonia. Greece has already made a name for itself doing just that. Bulgaria shows signs it might take the same road.

Last month Greece vetoed Macedonia’s entry into NATO over the name dispute. Athens opposes the use of the name “Macedonia” by Skopje, as Greece claims it is exclusive part of its cultural heritage. Greece threatened it would also block Macedonia in the European Union unless a solution to the name dispute is found that is to its liking. Greece’s move pushed Macedonia into political crisis. The government called early elections.

Europe has been continuously labeling Turkey (non-European Union state) as a rogue with regards to human rights standards, but (the few) Armenians in Turkey have their churches and schools. Greece’s denial goes so far that it does not even allow the free self-determination of the Macedonian minority, let alone start to discuss standards in education, use of mother tongue, or political participation. Last month the European Free Alliance, a European political party, staged an event in the European Parliament to protest this discrimination in Greece and called the Macedonian minority there one of the “last unrecognized minorities in Europe.”

In Albania (non-European Union state), often described as the most backward country in Europe, the small Macedonian minority freely votes their own and has a mayor in the region of Mala Prespa. In Bulgaria, a novel member of the European community of values, around a hundred members of the unrecognized political party of the Macedonian minority O.M.O. Ilinden Pirin were called by the police for “talks” last week, because they engaged in organizing a small historic commemoration. A classical tactic of police intimidation.

Trying to play an honest broker and stabilize the Balkans, the United States pushed hard to get Macedonia into NATO but could not fight the Greek veto. In the process even Washington got entangled in the primitive Balkan nationalisms that simply refuse to accept that people are free to declare as they wish.

State Department official Daniel Fried during his recent visit to Athens had to argue with the Greeks over this purportedly basic human entitlement. His counterparts reportedly told him there was no such thing as Macedonians. His answer, rephrased, involved something like “Oh, but I was there last week. I saw them.”

State Department spokespeople get into semantic discussions on a regular basis with a legendary Greek journalist at press briefings over whether there is a Macedonian identity, nation, or language.

For Greeks, Macedonians are “Slavs” who are stealing Greece’s history by calling themselves Macedonians. For the Bulgarians, they are Bulgarian kin who have been brainwashed during Tito’s Yugoslavia, and think they are Macedonian, but are actually Bulgarian.

The European Union has been way too condoning of Greek discriminatory demands pointed against Macedonia. Back in 1992 it adopted an infamous Lisbon document that said the new country could not use the name “Macedonia” and it postponed its recognition. It softened over time in view of reality. Macedonia was recognized by the United Nations in 1993, under the provisional name of “former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia” (FYROM). Over the years the European Union has not showed a sign of willingness to deal constructively with the issue. Only last week one of its committees had to change in a document all reference to “Macedonian language” or “Macedonian culture” to “the language of FYROM” and so forth, in face of Greek pressure.

The bottom line is that one should be free to declare as she or he feels. That is the substance of the right to free expression of identity. Restrictions to this end, whatever the pretext or ideology, are limitations of freedom and serious infringement of democratic standards. If on top of that the people subject to such restrictions are made to fear to speak their language in public, or have no schools for their kids in their mother tongue, or even fear persecution, for them the society they live in is not democratic.

One must be free to declare as he or she wants. The same way the European Union promotes democracy abroad, it needs to do it in its own yard. If judicial action is not enough and it obviously isn’t, Brussels must take more-decisive political action and demand that its members recognize minorities.

Who Are the Macedonians?

Popularity: 22% [?]

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A US President for Nuclear War?

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 By: Dr. Megalommatis Muhammad
Shamsaddin (Pictured Below)

Dr. Megalommatis Muhammad Shamsaddin.As the results of Pennsylvania’s primary propel the Democratic campaign into the elections in Indiana and North Carolina, Americans have got to seriously think whether they are going to allow a dangerous person for US national security to claim the Democratic nomination.

It would rather appear odd to portray Senator Hillary Clinton as perilous for US security, but few can suggest that her previous role of America’s First Lady enabled her to demonstrate what her presidential caliber might ever be.

Due to America’s destination as envisioned by the Founding Fathers, and because of the position of post-WW II America in the world politics, a US president’s talent is principally revealed in the sphere of foreign policy, an area constitutionally reserved mainly for the US president to decide.

Constitutionally, a US First Lady simply does not exist, when it comes to US foreign policy. Senator Clinton did not prove to be a geo-strategic genius and a rich conceptual thinker. Her choices are unclear, and when clear questionable.

Irrelevant, inconsistent and utterly disastrous President Hillary Clinton

As the ongoing campaign brings issues to surface, we start getting an idea about how irrelevant, inconsistent and utterly disastrous for America an eventual President Hillary Clinton might be.

Yesterday morning, Clinton’s threat to ‘obliterate’ Iran, expressed in an ABC interview, highlighted all at once her incapability to deal with a great number of issues ranging from Oil prices and Energy worries to Global Security and Eurasia.

Perhaps Clinton’s Persian deviation has not been noticed by many people in America, as the subprime mortgage crisis, the rising Oil prices, a great number of environmental issues, and the economic outlook monopolize the local interest to great extent. Even fewer can understand how easily a statement like that can make all the US economic parameters collapse. It would however be rather advisable to focus on her answer, as her words augur nothing positive for the US and the entire world.

When closely examining presidential candidate Clinton’s answer, we are stunned by her ignorance of international politics, over-simplicity when dealing with complex issues, and – above all – a state of mind and a way of thinking that are not permissible to a tribal chieftain, let alone the US president.

At this point, it is necessary to quote Hillary Clinton’s words: “I want the Iranians to know that if I’m the president, we will attack Iran. In the next 10 years, during which they might foolishly consider launching an attack on Israel, we would be able to totally obliterate them.”

Despite the fact that Clinton’s campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson insisted that she was not alluding to a nuclear strike, she did not hesitate to reaffirm the earlier reference during a later interview with MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann! She specified: “We used (deterrence) very well during the Cold War when we had a bipolar world and what I think the president should do and what our policy should be is to make it very clear to the Iranians that they would be risking massive retaliation were they to launch a nuclear attack on Israel”.

Although many commentators attempted to interpret her possible intentions and evaluate whether she intends to be presiding the US during a nuclear war, I believe it would be rather beneficial to highlight the following points.

Hillary Clinton’s Ignorance of International Politics

The Iranians will never attack Israel with nuclear weapons, except we refer to the eventual use of micro-nuclear bombs and devices that, used by suicide bombers in Haifa and Tel Aviv, will create a havoc necessary for a most drastic Palestinian uprising. This certainly remains a possibility, but in this case Iran will not fire any missile, and the inconsiderate US presidential candidate will find no proof to possibly substantiate her allegations.

However, imagining a nuclear Iranian attack against Israel is a matter of sheer ignorance for anyone, let alone a US presidential candidate. The Iranian leadership certainly want collectively to totally exterminate the state of Israel, and in their determination they are joined by the great majority of all the Muslims of the world, who– right or wrong – never accepted the fact ‘Eretz Israel’. But neither Iran nor any other Muslim / Islamic country will ever attempt to fire a nuclear missile on Israel. The reason is very simple.

A significant nuclear explosion anywhere in Israel would make regular daily life impossible in Jerusalem. Named Al Quds ash Sherif (the Great Faraway City), Jerusalem is holy for every Muslim, and this includes the Iranian leadership and any Muslim intending to cause damages to Israel. Being the holy city par excellence for the three religions, Judaism, Christianity and Islam, Jerusalem is mainly venerated by Muslims for having been the location where the Miraj (the Prophet’s nocturnal trip to the Holy Rock and the subsequent prayer and rise to Celestial Jerusalem) occurred. It is noteworthy that the very first Muslims were turning to Jerusalem for prayer, having therefore a different Qiblah (direction) than that followed by Muslims in later periods down to our days. For every Muslim, any act of intentional destruction of Jerusalem and the surrounding area is utterly sacrilegious – a word certainly unknown and meaningless to Hillary Clinton.

In fact, expecting an Iranian nuclear attack against Israel is pathetic; it means that you are totally unable to estimate what your rival’s possible acts may be. This is absolutely detrimental, when it comes to US interests in the Middle East.

Hillary Clinton’s Incapacity to Deal with Complex Issues

Assuming that the Iranians may finally decide to fire on Tel Aviv a nuclear missile with a Hiroshima type atomic bomb (which is not probable, but we take it here as a working hypothesis), one should question whether the correct US answer would be a total obliteration of Iran.

First of all, even a micro-nuclear explosion in Tel Aviv or Haifa will be a dramatic US failure in terms of security policy, Middle East strategy, anti-terrorist intelligence, and prevention capacity.

It is highly questionable whether the present administration or a hypothetical Clinton administration will ever be in a position to compose a convincing Iran containment policy. Israel cannot be ‘used’ in this regard because, according to US interests, it is the country to be protected; the protector and the protected cannot be possibly identified. As a matter of fact, any involvement of the Zionist state would trigger a rather unsolicited Anti-American and Anti-Western tsunami within the Islamic World.

Turkey is enough to eliminate potential Iranian threats

Turkey is the only force capable to disperse all chances of a Middle Eastern involvement of Iran. America, driven by an ominously anti-American, pro-British part of the US establishment, has long pushed Turkey to further integrate with the EU. This corresponds only to British interests but as political objective, it is in straightforward conflict with vital US interests spanning from Eastern Mediterranean to Central Asia.

For Hillary Clinton to save Israel, a Turkish – Azeri secular state union should become the key to all future developments in Eurasia; with Georgia in the picture and with Turkey in Northern Iraq, the pro-American forces of Ankara and Baku should focus their efforts of legitimate expansionism on Iran.

Iran is a vast country made up of different nations, ethnic and religious groups that shared common values for many long centuries and their homogeneity dates back in the Pre-Islamic era. The unilateral and tyrannical policies of the theocratic Shia Persian Ayatullah regime have by now disturbed and disrupted this historical homogeneity.

These policies do currently consist in a real threat for the Azeris, the Turks, the Soranis, the Goranis, the Ahl-e Haq, the Christian Aramaeans, the Loris, the Bakhtiaris, the Zoroasterians, the Bahais, the Baluchis, and other local ethno-religious groups that represent slightly more than 50% of Iran’s population (74 million people).

By fomenting an Azeri – Turkish insurgence in Iran, Turkey can trigger the final dismemberment of Iran, and the rise of a Euro-Asiatic Union of democratic, secular Turkic-speaking states, eliminating at the same time potential Iranian threats against Israel and Islamic terrorist threats against the entire world.

This scenario would help divert Anti-Americanism and Anti-Semitism, generating completely new dynamics within the Islamic World, and turning decisively the balance of power against the Russian – Chinese Euro-Asiatic landmass schemes.

Hillary Clinton’s Impermissible State of Mind

Quite unfortunately for the first US female presidential candidate, it’s not ignorance of international politics or incapacity to deal with complex issues what consists in her most detrimental insufficiency; it’s her impermissible state of mind.

Hillary Clinton’s personal desire and political choice to portray herself as a potentially strong president is her greatest disadvantage; one has reason to believe that this attitude reflects basic parameters of her mindset. Instead of further analyzing it, one should rather examine the side effects of an inconsiderate response to an eventual Iranian aggression. A US attack or counterattack would indeed trigger the most unexpected and the most brutal violence in the History of the Middle East.

For decades, lack of education and socioeconomic development throughout the entire region matched with widespread acceptance of a false version of politically portentous Islam. To hundreds of millions of ignorant and uncultured masses spanning from Morocco to Indonesia little matters what were the commonly accepted Islamic values for the great philosophers and erudite scholars of the Islamic Ages. Modern, false, Islam is a very different system – and this is not easily perceived.

When poverty, humiliation, discrimination, historical – national – cultural de-personification, and lack of education are mixed with the feeling of being unjustly treated, marginalized, exploited, and stripped of anything, natural resources to national pride, people turn to their ignorant religious leaders for guidance. These ‘leaders’ cannot be contested by US-friendly dictators and bogus-kings.

These ‘spiritual’ leaders will immediately depict an anti-Israeli, anti-American and anti-Western leader as the long awaited Mahdi al Montazar, the Islamic version of the legendary Messiah. Then, in no-time, presidents and kings either will promise allegiance to the new leader-designate or will disappear in a domino effect that the US simply will not be able to influence.

With the surety due to the consideration of the fact that the ‘opponent’ is led by an inferior being (a female president), an Islamist tsunami will burn Oilfields throughout the Gulf and the peninsula, sending Oil prices above US $ 1000. Not a single Western will be left alive in the entire area, and there will be no Palestinian Muslim absent from the Final Battle for the Obliteration of Israel – caused deliberately by the hypothetically strong US president Hillary Clinton.

If the American Democrats like this scenario, they should vote for her!

Hillary - America's First Dictator

Popularity: 42% [?]

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Secession, National Sovereignty, and Territorial Integrity

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I. Introduction

On February 17, 2008, Kosovo became a new state by seceding from Serbia. It was the second time in less than a decade that Kosovo declared its independence.

Pundits warned against this precedent-setting event and foresaw a disintegration of sovereign states from Belgium to Macedonia, whose restive western part is populated by Albanians. In 2001, Macedonia faced the prospect of a civil war. It capitulated and signed the Ohrid Framework Agreement.

Yet, the truth is that there is nothing new about Kosovo’s independence. Macedonians need not worry, it would seem. While, under international law, Albanians in its western parts can claim to be insurgents (as they have done in 2001 and, possibly, twice before), they cannot aspire to be a National Liberation Movement and, if they secede, they are very unlikely to be recognized.

To start with, there are considerable and substantive differences between Kosovo’s KLA and its counterpart, Macedonia’s NLA. Yugoslavia regarded the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA or UCK, in its Albanian acronym) as a terrorist organization. Not so the rest of the world. It was widely held to be a national liberation movement, or, at the very least, a group of insurgents.

Between 1996-9, the KLA maintained a hierarchical operational structure that wielded control and authority over the Albanians in large swathes of Kosovo. Consequently, it acquired some standing as an international subject under international law.

Thus, what started off as a series of internal skirmishes and clashes in 1993-5 was upgraded in 1999 into an international conflict, with both parties entitled to all the rights and obligations of ius in bello (the law of war).

II. Insurgents in International Law

Traditionally, the international community has been reluctant to treat civil strife the same way it does international armed conflict. No one thinks that encouraging an endless succession of tribal or ethnic secessions is a good idea. In their home territories, insurgents are initially invariably labeled as and treated by the “lawful” government as criminals or terrorists.

Paradoxically, though, the longer and more all-pervasive the conflict and the tighter the control of the rebels on people residing in the territories in which the insurgents habitually operate, the better their chances to acquire some international recognition and standing.

Thus, international law actually eggs on rebels to prolong and escalate conflicts rather than resolve them peacefully.

By definition, insurgents are temporary, transient, or provisional international subjects. As Antonio Cassese puts it (in his tome, “International Law”, published by Oxford University Press in 2001):

“…(I)nsurgents are quelled by the government, and disappear; or they seize power, and install themselves in the place of the government; or they secede and join another State, or become a new international subject.”

In other words, being an intermediate phenomenon, rebels can never claim sovereign rights over territory. Sovereign states can contract with insurrectionary parties and demand that they afford protection and succor to foreigners within the territories affected by their activities. However, this is not a symmetrical relationship. The rebellious party cannot make any reciprocal demands on states. Still, once entered into, agreements can be enforced, using all lawful sanctions

Third party states are allowed to provide assistance - even of a military nature - to governments, but not to insurgents (with the exception of humanitarian aid). Not so when it comes to national liberation movements.

III. National Liberation Movements in International Law

According to the First Geneva Protocol of 1977 and subsequent conventions, what is the difference between a group of “freedom fighters” and a national liberation movement?

A National Liberation Movement represents a collective - nation, or people - in its fight to liberate itself from foreign or colonial domination or from an inequitable (for example: racist) regime.

National Liberation Movements maintain an organizational structure although they may or may not be in control of a territory (many operate in exile) but they must aspire to gain domination of the land and the oppressed population thereon.

They uphold the principle of self-determination and are, thus, instantaneously deemed to be internationally legitimate.

Though less important from the point of view of international law, the instant recognition by other States that follows the establishment of a National Liberation Movement has enormous practical consequences: States are allowed to extend help, including economic and military assistance (short of armed troops) and are “duty-bound to refrain from assisting a State denying self-determination to a people or a group entitled to it” (Cassesse).

As opposed to mere insurgents, National Liberation Movements can claim and assume the right to self-determination; the rights and obligations of ius in bello (the legal principles pertaining to the conduct of hostilities); the rights and obligations pertaining to treaty making; diplomatic immunity.

Yet, even National Liberation Movements are not allowed to act as sovereigns. For instance, they cannot dispose of land or natural resources within the disputed territory. In this case, though, the “lawful” government or colonial power are similarly barred from such dispositions.

IV. Internal Armed Conflict in International Law

Rebels and insurgents are not lawful combatants (or belligerents). Rather, they are held to be simple criminals by their own State and by the majority of other States. They do not enjoy the status of prisoner of war when captured. Ironically, only the lawful government can upgrade the status of the insurrectionists from bandits to lawful combatants (”recognition of belligerency”).

How the government chooses to fight rebels and insurgents is, therefore, not regulated. As long as it refrains from intentionally harming civilians, it can do very much as it pleases.

But international law is in flux and, increasingly, civil strife is being “internationalized” and treated as a run-of-the-mill bilateral or even multilateral armed conflict. The doctrine of “human rights intervention” on behalf of an oppressed people has gained traction. Hence Operation Allied Force in Kosovo in 1999.

Moreover, if a civil war expands and engulfs third party States and if the insurgents are well-organized, both as an armed force and as a civilian administration of the territory being fought over, it is today commonly accepted that the conflict should be regarded and treated as international.

As the Second Geneva Protocol of 1977 makes crystal clear, mere uprisings or riots (such as in Macedonia, 2001) are still not covered by the international rules of war, except for the general principles related to non-combatants and their protection (for instance, through Article 3 of the four 1949 Geneva Conventions) and customary law proscribing the use of chemical weapons, land and anti-personnel mines, booby traps, and such.

Both parties - the State and the insurrectionary group - are bound by these few rules. If they violate them, they may be committing war crimes and crimes against humanity.

V. Secession in International Law

The new state of Kosovo has been immediately recognized by the USA, Germany, and other major European powers. The Canadian Supreme Court made clear in its ruling in the Quebec case in 1998 that the status of statehood is not conditioned upon such recognition, but that (p. 289):

“…(T)he viability of a would-be state in the international community depends, as a practical matter, upon recognition by other states.”

The constitutional law of some federal states provides for a mechanism of orderly secession. The constitutions of both the late USSR and SFRY (Yugoslavia, 1974) incorporated such provisions. In other cases - the USA, Canada, and the United Kingdom come to mind - the supreme echelons of the judicial system had to step in and rule regarding the right to secession, its procedures, and mechanisms.

Again, facts on the ground determine international legitimacy. As early as 1877, in the wake of the bloodiest secessionist war of all time, the American Civil War (1861-5), the Supreme Court of the USA wrote (in William vs. Bruffy):

“The validity of (the secessionists’) acts, both against the parent State and its citizens and subjects, depends entirely upon its ultimate success. If it fail (sic) to establish itself permanently, all such acts perish with it. If it succeed (sic), and become recognized, its acts from the commencement of its existence are upheld as those of an independent nation.”

In “The Creation of States in International Law” (Clarendon Press, 2nd ed., 2006), James Crawford suggests that there is no internationally recognized right to secede and that secession is a “legally neutral act”. Not so. As Aleksandar Pavkovic observes in his book (with contributions by Peter Radan), “Creating New States - Theory and Practice of Secession” (Ashgate, 2007), the universal legal right to self-determination encompasses the universal legal right to secede.

The Albanians in Kosovo are a “people” according to the Decisions of the Badinter Commission. But, though, they occupy a well-defined and demarcated territory, their land is within the borders of an existing State. In this strict sense, their unilateral secession does set a precedent: it goes against the territorial definition of a people as embedded in the United Nations Charter and subsequent Conventions.

Still, the general drift of international law (for instance, as interpreted by Canada’s Supreme Court) is to allow that a State can be composed of several “peoples” and that its cultural-ethnic constituents have a right to self-determination. This seems to uphold the 19th century concept of a homogenous nation-state over the French model (of a civil State of all its citizens, regardless of ethnicity or religious creed).

Pavkovic contends that, according to principle 5 of the United Nations’ General Assembly’s Declaration on Principles of International Law Concerning Friendly Relations and Co-operation Among States in Accordance With the Charter of the United Nations, the right to territorial integrity overrides the right to self-determination.

Thus, if a State is made up of several “peoples”, its right to maintain itself intact and to avoid being dismembered or impaired is paramount and prevails over the right of its constituent peoples to secede. But, the right to territorial integrity is limited to States:

“(C)onducting themselves in compliance with the principle of equal rights and self-determination of peoples … and thus possessed of a government representing the whole people belonging to the territory without distinction as to race, creed, or colour.”

The words “as to race, creed, or colour” in the text supra have been replaced with the words “of any kind” (in the 1995 Declaration on the Occasion of the Fiftieth Anniversary of the United Nations).

Yugoslavia under Milosevic failed this test in its treatment of the Albanian minority within its borders. They were relegated to second-class citizenship, derided, blatantly and discriminated against in every turn. Thus, according to principle 5, the Kosovars had a clear right to unilaterally secede.

As early as 1972, an International Commission of Jurists wrote in a report titled “The Events in East Pakistan, 1971″:

“(T)his principle (of territorial integrity) is subject to the requirement that the government does comply with the principle of equal rights and does represent the whole people without distinction. If one of the constituent peoples of a state is denied equal rights and is discriminated against … their full right of self-determination will revive.” (p. 46)

A quarter of a century later, Canada’s Supreme Court concurred (Quebec, 998): “(T)he international law right to self-determination only generates, at best, a right to external self-determination in situations … where a definable group is denied meaningful access to government to pursue their political, economic, social, and cultural development.”

In his seminal tome, “Self-Determination of Peoples: A Legal Appraisal” (Cambridge University Press, 19950, Antonio Cassese neatly sums up this exception to the right to territorial integrity enjoyed by
States:

“(W)hen the central authorities of a sovereign State persistently refuse to grant participatory rights to a religious or racial group, grossly and systematically trample upon their fundamental rights, and deny the possibility of reaching a peaceful settlement within the framework of the State structure … A racial or religious group may secede … once it is clear that all attempts to achieve internal self-determination have failed or are destined to fail.” (p. 119-120)

VI. The Cases of Kosovo and Western Macedonia

In former Yugoslavia (SFRY), Kosovo was an autonomous province within the Socialist Republic of Serbia. The Albanians in Yugoslavia were not recognized as a “people” (narod), merely as a “nationality” (narodnost).

In January 1990, the Constitutional Court of SFRY ruled illegal a unilateral secession from the Yugoslav Federation. The right to secede belonged to “the peoples of Yugoslavia and their socialist republics (and autonomous provinces)”. Kosovo was an autonomous province, but the Albanians were not a “people”. Indeed, in a later decision, dealing specifically with Kosovo’s first declaration of independence, the Constitutional Court
spoke:

“(O)nly peoples of Yugoslavia had the right of self-determination.”

Western Macedonia has always been an integral part of the Republic of Macedonia within the SFRY. It had never acquired the status of an autonomous province, let alone a Republic. Albanians in Macedonia are a minority. They are well-represented in government and law enforcement and have equal access to education and the institutions of the State. Their rights are guaranteed by multiple constitutional, legal, and international instruments. They have no leg to stand on if they choose to unilaterally secede from Macedonia (for instance, in order to join Kosovo).

The Albanians of western Macedonia may, however, successfully secede from Macedonia within the framework of a realignment of borders between Serbia, Kosovo, Albania, Macedonia, and, perhaps, Greece, and Bulgaria. While Macedonia is extremely unlikely to welcome such a move, it may be coerced into acquiescence by the international community. Macedonia was strong-armed into the Ohrid Framework Agreement in 2001. There is no guarantee that this scenario will not repeat itself.

Macedonia should urgently adopt steps to change the demographic composition of its western territories. This is not without precedent. Israel has done the same in its northern territory (the Galilee), Poland with its Ukrainian Borderlands, Germany in its east, the USA in its “wild” West.

Macedonia should offer economic incentives to anyone willing to relocate from the rest of its territory to its west: jobs, free land and agricultural inputs, subsidized credits, housing, infrastructure, and educational opportunities. The government should move many of its ministries, agencies, and facilities from Skopje to western Macedonia.


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